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2026 Iran war
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This article documents a current military conflict and may change rapidly. (March 2026) |
| 2026 Iran war | |||||||
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See casualties for details. 570 killed and 1,444 injured in Lebanon[37] 2 soldiers and 10 civilians killed, 122 injured in the United Arab Emirates[38][39][40] 4 servicemen and 4 civilians killed, 67 servicemen and 32 civilians injured in Kuwait[41][42][43][44][45] 3 security forces and 2 civilians killed, 2 injured in Kurdistan Region, Iraq[46] 3 killed and 38 injured in Bahrain[47][48][49] 2 killed and 12 injured in Saudi Arabia[50] 1 killed in Oman[51] 16 injured in Qatar[52] 19 injured in Jordan[53] 4 injured in Azerbaijan[54] | |||||||
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| United States involvement in regime change |
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On 28 February 2026, Israel and the United States launched surprise airstrikes on multiple sites and cities across Iran, killing Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei and other Iranian officials, and starting a war.
After the Middle Eastern crisis began in 2023, Iran and Israel exchanged missile strikes in 2024 and again during their Twelve-Day War in June 2025, which saw a US airstrike on Iran's nuclear facilities.[55] In January 2026, Iranian security forces killed thousands of protesters[56] during the largest protests since the Islamic Revolution.[57] Iran and the US held indirect nuclear negotiations in February,[58] while the US undertook its largest military buildup in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.[59]
The 2026 war began, in the midst of active negotiations, with joint airstrikes by the US and Israel against military and government sites in the cities of Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj, and Kermanshah. The strikes assassinated Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, whose compound was destroyed. Other Iranian officials were also killed.[60][61] There were civilian casualties as well as damage to schools, hospitals, the Grand Bazaar in Tehran, and the Golestan Palace.[62] Iran then launched hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles at targets in Israel[63] and at US military bases[63] in Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey.[64][65] Iran struck civilian infrastructure in Azerbaijan,[66] Bahrain, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.[67] Britain's Akrotiri military base on Cyprus was struck by a drone.[68] Iran also forced the Strait of Hormuz to close and attacked energy facilities, disrupting global oil and gas shipments.[69] Hezbollah opened fire on Israel that resumed fighting in southern Lebanon.[70][71][72]
President Donald Trump and other US officials offered varying and shifting objectives for their attack, including that it was to ward off an imminent Iranian threat, to destroy Iran's missile and military capabilities, to prevent Iran from ever having a nuclear weapon,[73][74] to secure its natural resources,[75][74] and ultimately to achieve regime change by bringing the Iranian opposition to power.[76][77][78][79] Iran rejected claims that it had been preparing an attack.[80] The United Nations and several uninvolved countries condemned the US–Israeli strikes; others condemned Iran's retaliatory strikes on US allies in the region.[81] Critics of the strikes, including legal experts, have described the attacks as a violation of Iran's sovereignty[82][83] under international law.[84][85] The cost of US operations is estimated at between US$890 million and US$1 billion per day.[86][87][88]
Background
[edit]United States and Israel relations with Iran
[edit]A US- and UK-backed coup d'état in 1953 deposed Iranian prime minister Mohammad Mosaddegh and strengthened the rule of the Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, due to the former's nationalization of the oil industry.[89][90][91] Resentment of the Shah's deference to Western interests and his autocratic monarchical rule led to the 1979 revolution in which he was overthrown,[89][92] after which Iran became an Islamic republic and severed diplomatic ties with the United States and Israel.[89][93][94]
During the Iran–Iraq War in the 1980s, the US provided economic, intelligence, and indirect military support to Iraq. In this period, Iran began to engage in proxy conflicts in the region, backing Hezbollah against Israel in Lebanon. In the 2000s, Iran began supporting militias fighting the US in Iraq. These proxies became part of an informal "Axis of Resistance" committed primarily to countering the influence of the US and Israel in the Middle East. The conflict between the US and Iran became direct in January 2020 when President Donald Trump, during his first term, ordered the assassination of Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force.[89][95]
Tensions between Iran and the US and Israel further escalated following the October 7 attacks on Israel and the start of the Gaza war in 2023, during which Israel weakened Iranian-backed militias across the Middle East, including Hamas in Gaza,[h] Hezbollah, and others. Israel and Iran exchanged strikes in April and October 2024, and were engaged in a 12-day war in June 2025 that included an American airstrike aimed at destroying Iran's nuclear facilities.[55]
Iran nuclear issue
[edit]Iran's AMAD Project was suspended in 2003 by Ali Khamenei, who was supreme leader of Iran at that time.[98][99] UN Security Council (UNSC) concerns about the nuclear program of Iran from 2006[i] were solved by the creation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015.[103] Iran said it is not seeking nuclear weapons, and that its enrichment efforts are to generate nuclear power for civilian use.[104] The Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said that there is no proof Iran is building an atomic bomb.[105][106][107][108] Some UK and US analysts concluded Iran is pursuing a strategy of nuclear hedging.[109]
The United States withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018[110][92] led to the re-imposition of sanctions on Iran and a turn towards the use of force rather than diplomacy in relations between the US and its allies and Iran. The first Trump administration adopted a "maximum pressure" strategy.[111] The Biden administration did not relax the economic sanctions against Iran, and instead implemented more measures.[112] The second Trump administration reimposed the "maximum pressure" approach on Iran.[113][92]
The Defense Intelligence Agency concluded in 2025 it would be a decade before Iran would be able to gain the technical skill to produce an arsenal of missiles that could reach the United States;[114] the United States Department of Defense estimated Iran's nuclear program had been set back by two years by its June 2025 strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.[115] In January 2026, US and European officials said Washington had presented Iran with three core demands, one of which was a permanent end to all uranium enrichment.[116]
At the State of the Union Address in late February 2026, President Trump stated that Iran had restarted its nuclear program and was developing missiles capable of striking the US.[117] Days later, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) discovered that Iran had hidden highly enriched uranium in an underground facility that was undamaged in the previous round of fighting.[118][119] The IAEA said that it had no evidence of an organized nuclear weapons program, but could not be sure that Iran's broader nuclear program was "exclusively peaceful" at the time of reportage as the agency was denied access.[120]
Prelude
[edit]Anti-government protests in Iran and initial US deployments
[edit]
Beginning in late December 2025, massive nationwide anti-government protests erupted in Iran, driven largely by economic crisis, the collapse of the rial, and rising prices. The protests, which included calls for regime change, became the largest in scale since the 1979 revolution.[57] The Iranian government responded with massacres of protesters, with the deadliest incidents occurring on 8 and 10 January 2026.[56] In February 2026, US treasury secretary Scott Bessent claimed that Washington engineered a dollar shortage in Iran to send the Iranian rial into freefall and cause protests in Iran.[121][122][123] The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency estimated the death toll at 7,000, the Iranian government said it was 3,117, while Donald Trump and various Iranian health officials said it was 32,000 people.[124][125]
On 2 January 2026, Trump threatened a "lock and loaded" military intervention in Iran if the government decided to kill peaceful protesters.[126] On 13 January, he expressed support for Iranian anti-government protesters and pledged that "help is on the way" for them,[127] and later, on 23 January, Trump announced that a US "armada" was heading to the Middle East, including the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and several guided-missile destroyers.[128][129] On 13 February, Trump ordered the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford and its supporting warships to sail to the Middle East.[130]
2026 nuclear negotiations
[edit]On 6 February 2026, Iran and the US held indirect nuclear negotiations in Oman's capital, Muscat. Iran emphasized that progress depends on consultations back in capitals.[131] A second round of nuclear talks was scheduled in Geneva.[131] Between 15 and 20 February, Iran increased its oil exports to three times the normal rate, and reduced its oil storage.[132]
Just before the strikes began, on 27 February 2026, Oman's Foreign Minister Badr Al-Busaidi said a "breakthrough" had been reached and Iran had agreed both to never stockpile enriched uranium and to full verification by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA);[133] furthermore, Iran had agreed to irreversibly downgrade its current enriched uranium to "the lowest level possible". Al-Busaidi said peace was "within reach".[134][133] However, US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff said Iran had begun recent nuclear talks by insisting on its "inalienable right" to enrich uranium, rejecting a US proposal for zero enrichment, and even boasting that its 460 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium could produce 11 nuclear bombs.[135][136]
US military buildup
[edit]
On 14 February, the US publicly began preparing its campaign.[137] By 19 February the US buildup was described as the largest in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.[59] Netanyahu called Trump on 23 February to inform him about Khamenei's upcoming meeting with his top advisors and its location.[138][139] On 24 February, during the State of the Union Address, Trump accused Iran of reviving efforts to build nuclear weapons and advanced missile capabilities that could threaten the US, Europe, and US bases overseas. He warned that the US was prepared to act if necessary.[140] American intelligence reports suggested that alleged threats of long-range Iranian ballistic missiles were unfounded, with such capabilities requiring up until 2035 should Iran have decided to pursue the project.[141]
On 25 February 2026, Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi stated that a "historic" agreement with the United States to avert military conflict was "within reach" ahead of renewed talks in Geneva. Araghchi emphasized that diplomacy must be prioritized to avoid further escalation. Despite high tensions and a significant US military buildup in the region, Araghchi reiterated on social media that Iran holds a "crystal clear" position against developing nuclear weapons, while defending its right to peaceful nuclear technology.[142]
According to The Wall Street Journal, US Senator Lindsey Graham made the most compelling case to Trump for an assault on Iran.[143] According to The Washington Post, crown prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman conducted multiple phone calls with Trump urging him to attack Iran,[144] and Trump's decision to attack Iran came after the Saudi Arabian and Israeli governments lobbied him repeatedly to make the move.[145]
The Guardian reported a few days before the attack that the decision would be determined by the outcome of a meeting in Geneva, in which the US would be led by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.[146]
On the morning of the attack, some of Iran's top military and intelligence leaders, including Khamenei, were gathered together in the national security council offices for meetings.[147] US and Israeli military intelligence officers identified that the senior Iranian leaders would gather at three meetings that could be simultaneously struck.[148] Khamenei and his officials were above ground and in broad daylight. It is unknown how US and Israeli leadership were aware of their exact location.[149]
A few days before the attack, senior advisors for the Trump administration said it would be better if Israel strikes Iran first, so that the United States would have a better justification for going to war after Iran retaliates.[150] US secretary of state Marco Rubio later disclosed that the initial US attack on Iran was due to an Israeli intention to attack Iranian leadership, which would have jeopardized US forces in the region.[151] He also stated that United States may have followed Israel into the conflict;[152] however, Trump disagreed.[153]
Hostilities
[edit]28 February
[edit]Initial American and Israeli strikes
[edit]
On 27 February at 3:38 p.m. EST (11:08 p.m. IRST), Donald Trump, traveling on Air Force One to Corpus Christi, Texas, gave the order to proceed with Operation Epic Fury.[154][147] US missiles, drones, and Israeli fighter jets began striking Iran just over two hours later: around 9:45 a.m. IRST (1:15 a.m. EST).[155][156]
The operation was codenamed Operation Roaring Lion[k] by Israel.[157] The Israeli Air Force (IAF) said that it had struck 500 military targets in western and central Iran, including air defenses and missile launchers, using about 200 fighter jets, in the largest combat sortie in its history.[158] Iranian naval vessels were also targeted.[159] Israel later said its initial strikes used over 1,200 bombs in 24 hours.[160] A US official said dozens of US strikes were carried out by planes based around the Middle East and from one or more aircraft carriers.[161]

According to Iran International, quoting the Iranian Students' News Agency, thousands of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) personnel, including several senior officials,[162] were killed or wounded[vague] as several military bases were attacked.[163] Several strikes hit Tehran's Pasteur Street district, home to Ali Khamenei, the presidential palace, and the National Security Council.[164][165] It reported that the port city of Bushehr had also been struck; however, it was unclear whether the nuclear reactor had sustained any damage.[163] On 2 March, U.N. nuclear watchdog chief Rafael Mariano Grossi, said there was no evidence to indicated that the US-Israeli strikes had hit nuclear facilities.[166]
The strikes were coupled with cyberattacks on Iranian infrastructure, media, and phone apps, including the BadeSaba Calendar prayer app, with messages calling on Iranians to rise up against their government.[167][168][169] The cyberattacks resulted in a near-total internet blackout in Iran, lasting over 60 hours with connectivity dropping to as low as 1–4% of normal levels, disrupting government communications, state media, and public services.[170][168]
Initial statements from the American and Israeli governments
[edit]
Israeli military officials said months-long planning preceded their strikes, allowing them to pinpoint their targets, attain "tactical surprise", and gain US support.[171] Attacking during the morning, rather than at night which was when most of Israel's previous attacks on Iran took place, added to the element of surprise.[149] After the strikes began, Israel declared a state of emergency, citing expectation of an Iranian retaliation, and warned its citizens to remain in protected areas.[172][173] Israel called up 20,000 reservists in addition to the 50,000 already on duty.[174] The Israeli Ministry of Health moved its hospital operations underground.[175] According to Iran International, Israel warned Iranian civilians residing near military industries and infrastructure to evacuate immediately.[163]
At 2:30 a.m. EST on 28 February, Donald Trump released an eight-minute video statement on Truth Social, saying that the purpose of the US strikes in Iran was effectively[vague] regime change. Trump said that Iran's "menacing activities" endangered the US and its allies. He cited the Iran hostage crisis, support for proxies such as Hamas and Hezbollah, and its killings of protesters.[176] Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu both warned of the potential threat of nuclear weapons in Iran and called on the Iranian people to overthrow their government.[176][177] The Times of Israel reported that Defense Minister Israel Katz, had labeled the strikes a "pre-emptive attack" intended to "remove threats to the State of Israel".[172] Iran rejected claims that it intended to attack the United States, citing the aggressive posture of the US armed forces as evidence.[80]
Initial Iranian response
[edit]
Iranian forces reacted within hours by launching missiles in an operation it named Operation True Promise IV.[l][m] The quicker response relative to that of the Twelve-Day War suggests a change in Iran's command structure, according to the BBC.[178]
Iran struck Israeli targets in Tel Aviv and Haifa[178] as well as multiple countries throughout the Persian Gulf region.[179] Attacks were reported across the Gulf States. Major targets included Bahrain's capital Manama,[180][181] Kuwait International Airport, the United Arab Emirates' capital Abu Dhabi,[182][183] Riyadh and Eastern Province in Saudi Arabia,[184] and Erbil International Airport and the US Consulate General in Erbil in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.[185] Iran reported striking the US bases of Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait,[186] Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE, and the US Navy Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain.[187] Local sources said Iran used Shahed drones, which are among the weapons most used by Iran and its proxies, including Hamas and Hezbollah.[188]
According to an analysis in Reuters, by sending missiles at Gulf states, Iran has caused the Gulf states to realize that Iran poses a threat to them, and could thus cause them to support the US-Israel strikes.[189] Former CIA director David Petraeus echoed these sentiments, stating that Iran's targeting of other Gulf states was likely a strategic error that could pull additional countries into the war.[190] Despite President Pezeshkian's apology to the neighboring states for the strikes and order to the armed forces to stop the strikes, the Revolutionary Guards continued with the attacks, exposing a leadership rift within the Iranian government.[191]
1 March
[edit]Iran's top security official, Ali Larijani, announced the Interim Leadership Council on 1 March and accused the US and Israel of trying to dismantle Iran. He warned "secessionist groups" of severe consequences if they take action.[192] Trump relayed to NBC News that "a large amount of leadership" in Iran had been killed.[193] Israel launches a new wave of strikes against Iranian targets.[192]
Iran launched missiles and drones on Israel, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.[194][better source needed][195][better source needed][196] The United Kingdom initially reported there were strikes against Cyprus,[197][198] but later confirmed that there were not.[199] Two oil tankers, the Palau-flagged Skylight and the Marshall Islands-flagged MKD VYOM, were targeted off the coast of Oman.[200][201][202] Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed to a standstill,[203] with 150 freight ships, including many oil tankers stalled.[204]
To avert further Iranian strikes, the E3 (the UK, France, and Germany) resolved to back, if needed, "proportionate military defensive measures" against drones and ballistic missiles, signaling the potential for direct involvement.[205] British prime minister Keir Starmer said that US can use British bases for "defensive" strikes on Iran[206] and disclosed that Ukrainian and other specialists would aid Gulf efforts to foil Iranian drone strikes.[207] CNN reported that Crown Prince Salman, with US backing, vowed to employ military force against further Iranian incursions, calling Iranian strikes "cowardly" due to Saudi airspace being closed to US and Israeli attackers.[208] On 1 March, Trump announced that the US had accepted an Iranian proposal to further negotiations.[209] Trump later said the US operations were to be completed within a four-week timetable in an interview with the Daily Mail.[210] However, Ali Larijani subsequently ruled out talks.[211]
2 March
[edit]Iranian strikes were reported on 2 March, including in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha,[20] and Beersheba.[212] The US embassy in Kuwait was struck and subsequently closed indefinitely; no casualties were reported.[213][214] The US-flagged tanker Stena Imperative and the Honduras-flagged tanker Athe Nova were also struck.[215] A senior IRGC official who is an advisor to the IRGC commander said he would set fire onto any ship coming through the Strait of Hormuz, and added that no oil will leave the area.[216]
Qatar shot down two Iranian Su-24 bombers, making it the first nation to shoot down an Iranian aircraft in the conflict.[20] The Qatari Ministry of Defense announced that Ras Laffan Industrial City and Mesaieed Industrial Area were struck by two Iranian drones.[217] On 6 March, it was reported that according to satellite imagery analysis by both Bloomberg and the Energy Economics and Society Research Institute in Tokyo, Ras Laffan, the main gas facility in Qatar, appears to have not been damaged before the "unprecedented shutdown" which sent fuel prices higher.[218]

The United States and Israel attacked the Natanz Nuclear Facility[219] and the Khatam-al-Anbia and Gandhi hospitals.[220] A friendly fire incident took place when the pilot of an F/A-18 of the Kuwait Air Force shot down three US F-15 fighters.[221][222][223][214] According to Saudi-owned Al Arabiya, in the evening, Israeli special forces and Mossad operatives carried out a ground operation inside Iran; no additional information was reported. Israeli authorities did not issue a response to the report by 3 March. No independent news outlet has confirmed these allegations.[224]
Israel and Hezbollah exchanged strikes against one another.[225] Hezbollah launched attacks against Israel in retaliation for Khamenei's killing.[70] Lebanon banned military activities by Hezbollah after the attacks.[226] Hezbollah later claimed that the attack was a "defensive act" after over a year of Israeli attacks despite a truce.[71][72]. An IDF spokesperson issued an emergency statement stating that the attack is to be considered "an official declaration of war by Hezbollah", vowing to "neutralize" the threat.[225] Israel struck southern Lebanon,[227][47][228] Beirut, and the Beqaa Valley.[225] The IDF said that it killed the head of Hezbollah's intelligence headquarters Hussein Makled in the strikes.[229][230]
The Royal Air Force station at Akrotiri, Cyprus, was targeted by a drone strike around midnight local time, with one causing minor damage.[231][232][233][234] Another strike on Cyprus led to Greece announcing that they would deploy frigates and F-16s to defend Cyprus from any further strikes by Iran.[235] Later in the day IRGC general Sardar Jabbari commented that there was a US presence on the island of Cyprus and that Iran planned to strike the island "with such intensity that the Americans will be forced to leave".[236][237] The pro-Iran militant group Guardians of the Blood Brigade claimed responsibility for attacks on the US Victory Base near Baghdad International Airport and Erbil, Kurdistan Region, Iraq.[47][238][239] The Islamic Resistance in Iraq claimed responsibility for over 23 drone strikes on US assets in Erbil.[240]
3 March
[edit]
On 3 March, US and Israeli strikes reportedly destroyed the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) headquarters,[241] the Expediency Discernment Council building in Tehran,[242] and what Israeli officials described as an underground nuclear weapons facility called Min Zadai.[243] Bushehr Airport was also struck, damaging the airport terminal and destroying an Iran Air Airbus A319 (EP-IEP).[244][245] The proximity of these strikes to the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant (about 12 km (7.5 mi) away) prompted the Russian agency Rosatom to suspend construction on new units and evacuate non-essential staff due to a loss of communication with Iranian officials.[246]
US officials said US forces severely damaged Iran's naval capabilities, mainly in the Gulf of Oman, where several Iranian warships have reportedly been destroyed and key bases hit.[247][248] Israel also reported that it killed Daoud Alizadeh, the commander of the Quds Force's Lebanon branch, in Tehran,[249] and that it detained a dozen Hezbollah members in response to a missile strike.[250] Debris from an airstrike damaged Golestan Palace, a UNESCO World Heritage Site,[251] causing UNESCO to issue a statement that damaging UNESCO property is against international law.[252]
Israel Katz authorized a ground invasion of Lebanon on 3 March.[253][254] Israeli officials warned its attacks against Iran could become more intense and involve a deeper ground invasion.[255] The US expressed reluctance to deploy its own ground troops to Iran.[256] Trump said the US retained a "virtually unlimited supply" of heavy weaponry, but that it was seeking more supplies from other states. Trump added that he was confident in a "BIG" US victory.[257]

Earlier in the conflict, Trump urged Iranians to "take over your government" and said that "America is backing you with overwhelming strength and devastating force", framing US military action as an opportunity for a broader uprising. Trump also reshared an opinion piece by the political commentator and former speechwriter Marc Thiessen arguing that "there is no need for a US invasion force... The Iranian people are the boots on the ground", signaling support for internal resistance.[258] However, the day before, US defense secretary Pete Hegseth said he would not rule out sending American ground troops to Iran.[259]
Western diplomats and other sources told The Jerusalem Post that Qatar had struck Iran after Iran had attempted to strike Doha's airport and Qatar shot down two Iranian Su-24 bombers;[256] Channel 12 also reported Qatari strikes.[260] Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari vigorously denied the accusation that Qatar had joined the "campaign targeting Iran".[261]
An IRGC general warned it would hit all economic hubs in the Middle East,[262][263] and Abbas Araghchi said that any defensive European military involvement would be considered an act of war.[264][265] The Islamic Resistance in Iraq claimed responsibility for explosions in Erbil.[250]
4 March
[edit]
On 4 March, US secretary of state Marco Rubio announced that the US-Israeli attacks on Iran would increase in their intensity.[13] Israel attacks hit the Basij headquarters.[266] Mojtaba Khamenei survived an airstrike.[267] Qatar arrested ten individuals for operating as a cell of the IRGC in Qatari territory, collecting data on military infrastructure, with some trained to use drones.[268] The IDF announced that an F-35I "Adir" shot down a Russian-made Iranian Yak-130 fighter jet over Tehran, the first time that an F-35 has ever shot down a manned fighter jet in air-to-air combat and the first time the Israeli Air Force shot down an aircraft since 1985.[269]
Iran launched strikes against the Al Udeid Air Base[270] and Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refining facility.[271] The United States ordered the evacuation of non-essential workers in Cyprus in anticipation of Iranian strikes and issued a travel warning for the country.[272][273]
Hezbollah launched anti-tank fire in Southern Lebanon.[274][275] Larnaca International Airport in Cyprus was temporarily closed in response to a Lebanese drone, which was shot down by Greek F-16s.[276][277] Reports suggested a closure of Cypriot airspace, but it was later dismissed as false by the Cypriot government, which also confirmed the existence of the unidentified object from Lebanon in the same statement.[278]
A ballistic missile launched from Iranian territory was intercepted by NATO integrated air defense systems as it entered Turkish airspace, marking a significant escalation in the regional conflict.[279] Turkey asserted its right to self-defense after the missile landed in Dörtyol, Hatay Province,[280] and NATO secretary general Mark Rutte stated that the alliance was committed to defending Turkey.[281] In a diplomatic response, Iran officially denied intentionally targeting Turkey, attributing the event to a "technical anomaly". Despite these denials, the potential invocation of NATO's Article 4 became a focal point of urgent discussions between Turkish foreign minister Hakan Fidan and allied leadership, as Turkey sought to reinforce the alliance's collective defense posture in the face of further aerial threats.[282]
An Iranian Navy frigate, IRIS Dena, was sunk in the Indian Ocean by United States Navy submarine USS Charlotte, about 40 nautical miles (74 km; 46 mi) south of Galle, Sri Lanka. The vessel was transiting back to Iran following its participation in the International Fleet Review 2026 and the multilateral Exercise MILAN at Visakhapatnam, India.[283][284][285] The exercise required participating ships not to carry any ammunition, and the US likely knew the Dena was defenseless, since it also sent a maritime patrol aircraft to participate.[286] It was the first ship sunk by a submarine in active combat since ARA General Belgrano was sunk by the British during the Falklands War, and the first by an American submarine since World War II.[n][289] The ship issued a distress signal at dawn, prompting an immediate search and rescue operation by the Sri Lanka Navy and Sri Lanka Air Force. The Sri Lanka Navy rescued 32 people and transported them to the Galle National Hospital, where they received medical treatment for exhaustion and injuries related to the blast; they also recovered 87 bodies.[290][291] According to the Iranian army, 104 Iranians were killed and 32 were injured from this attack.[292] It was also reported that the landing ship IRIS Lavan with a crew of 183 sailors had sought refuge and been interned at Kochi, India, late evening on 4 March, following the attack on Dena.[293][294][295]
5 March
[edit]
The government of Azerbaijan said on 5 March that two drones from Iran struck Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan exclave.[296] It said one drone struck the terminal building of Nakhchivan International Airport, while another landed near a school building in the village of Şəkərabad, according to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, damaging the airport and injuring two civilians.[297] Azerbaijan summoned their Iranian ambassador,[298] withdrew their diplomats from Iran,[299] and promised a military response.[300] Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi suggested it was an Israeli false flag attack,[301] Azer News reported that a Telegram channel affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed responsibility for the strike in Nakhchivan.[302] Alarms went off in the UK's military bases on Cyprus twice during the visit of UK defence minister John Healey, causing widespread panic and self evacuations in the local population, but the bases confirmed in both instances that the missiles were not headed toward Cyprus.[303] Keir Starmer confirmed that the UK's bases on Cyprus would be used to defend the airspace of Jordan from Iranian drones,[304][305] while Italy, the Netherlands and Spain confirmed that they would be sending warships to defend Cyprus,[306] including the frigates Cristóbal Colón and Federico Martinengo.[307][308] Ireland stated that they would be willing to protect Cyprus and join the European defense coalition that had mobilized around the island if requested.[309]
6 March
[edit]
Trump said on 6 March that there are "no time limits" for how long the war will continue for,[310] and Hegseth stated that the war has "only just begun."[311] US and Israeli airstrikes hit an IRGC intelligence site in Lorestan,[312] and three Ghanaian peacekeepers enrolled in UNIFIL were hit by a missile and wounded in Southern Lebanon.[313] The Iranian tanker IRIS Bushehr was interned by the Sri Lanka Navy, marking the first instance of a warship being interned in a neutral country since World War II.[314]
In Azerbaijan, an alleged Iranian-linked terrorist plot was prevented by local law enforcement. They were accused of plotting to destroy the Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan oil pipeline, the Israeli embassy, and synagogues in Baku.[315][316] A trial began on the same day, during which the accused were identified as being part of a cell of the Islamic State known as "Vilayati-Khorasan" and the IRGC.[317][318]
7 March
[edit]US and Israeli forces executed strikes on infrastructure targets in Tehran and Isfahan.[319][320] The US approved a $151M arms sale to Israel[321] and sent a third aircraft carrier, USS George H. W. Bush, to the Middle East.[322][323][324] The IDF reported that it destroyed 16 Quds Force aircraft with a strike on Tehran's Mehrabad International Airport.[325][326] The IRGC said a water desalination plant on Qeshm Island had been attacked that affected the water supply for 30 villages, blamed the US, and said they had retaliated by attacking what they said was the source of the attack,[327][328] although both the US and Israel denied that they had attacked the desalination plant.[329] The British aircraft carrier HMS Prince of Wales was placed on advanced readiness to defend British interests in the region.[330]
Pezeskhian told reporters on 7 March that Iran would stop striking neighbours from 7 March onwards unless an attack originated from there.[331] Despite this, Dubai International Airport was later attacked by Iranian drones.[332] The compounds and oil refineries structures of the US-based firm Halliburton located in Basra were hit by Iranian strikes.[333] The IRGC attacked the Malta-flagged oil tanker Prima with a drone.[334] NDTV reported that following a week's hostilities, Iran might only have around one thousand ballistic missiles left.[335]
8 March
[edit]Khamenei's second son, Mojtaba, is designated as Iran's new supreme leader.[336]
Israeli airstrikes hit Iran's oil facilities for the first time, killing four people.[337] Strikes on fuel depots near Tehran caused a "river of fire" to pour out along the streets in the surrounding area,[338] and the city became engulfed in a cloud of thick black smoke, causing toxic acidic black rain to fall in the surrounding area.[329] Residents were advised by Iranian authorities to stay indoors, wear masks when outside, and conserve food and fuel.[339]
Kuwait reported that two of its officers were killed while performing duties.[340][341] The Saudi Civil Defense agency said that a strike on a compound in Al-Kharj killed two people and injured 12 others.[342] US Central Command announced the death of a seventh US service member from an Iranian attack.[343]
The United Kingdom's Ministry of Defense confirmed that its forces had intercepted an Iranian drone headed towards Iraq. Additionally, the Ministry declared their intention to send a Merlin helicopter to the region to help aid in detecting future aerial threats.[344]
According to the Iranian Red Crescent Society, a total of 65 schools and 32 medical facilities (such as hospitals and pharmacies) have been targeted since the war started, and more than 10,000 civilian sites have been damaged.[345]
9 March
[edit]
NATO confirmed the interception of a second ballistic missile over Turkish air space,[346] landing in the area of Gaziantep.[347] Meanwhile, Turkey deployed six F-16s and air defence systems to Northern Cyprus to ensure its security.[348]
Donald Trump claimed that "the war is very complete, pretty much", after speaking with Russian president Vladimir Putin,[349] and said "we already won the war in many ways."[350] Trump later went back on some of his comments during a press conference held later that day, supporting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth in stating that the war was just the "beginning of building a new country" and that it would end "soon".[351] However, Trump also said that the US will have the "most intense day" of strikes on Tuesday.[352]
Following Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's support for the Lebanon's objective to disarm Hezbollah,[353] the group targetted Inkhil in Syria.[354]
About a dozen B1-B bombers arrived at bases in Europe. 5 landed at the Fairford Royal Air Force base, UK, joining 3 B-52 bombers, while 3 others were redirected to Ramstein Air Force Base, Germany.[355]
10 March
[edit]An Iranian senior Revolutionary Guard Corps commander stated that Iran is only firing missiles with payloads of 1,000 kg or more.[356] AFP reported that Iran's attacks are the "most intense and heaviest" since the start of the war.[357]
Following the Syrian presidency's support for the disarmament of Hezbollah and a campaign of mobilization by the Syrian army on the Lebanese border,[353][358] shells from Lebanon landed in the town of Serghaya, 20 kilometres (12 mi), from Damascus where the Syrian Armed Forces forces presided.[359] The strikes were confirmed by the Operations Authority of the Syrian Army.[360]
Later in the day, Israel issued an urgent evacuation notice to southern suburbs of Beirut.[361]
Hegseth stated that Iran is going to get hit with more intense strikes,[362] possibly the most intense since the start of the war.[363] US admiral Brad Cooper reported that Iran's ballistic missile launch rate fell 90% from day one of the war and their drone launch rate fell 80%.[364][365][366] Defense analyst AJ Jaff reported that the missile launch rate fell 92% (480 to 40) and the drone launch rate fell 92% (720 to 60).[364]
According to US sources they struck multiple Iranian minelaying ships.[367]
11 March
[edit]A cargo ship caught fire in the straits as it got hit from a projectile, according to the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations agency.[368] Iran fired dozens of missile at targets throughout the Gulf region, as the US and Israel, launched attacks on targets in Iran.[369]
Strikes and casualties
[edit]The rate of ballistic missile launches by Iran declined from the beginning of the war to 4 March, with analysts pointing to a depletion of Iranian missile and launcher stores as well as a strategy of rationing for a longer war as explanatory factors.[370] On 5 March 2026, a military source told Fars News Agency that Iran had fired over 500 ballistic and naval missiles and almost 2,000 drones since 28 February. The report claimed that almost 40 percent of the launches were aimed towards Israel, and almost 60 percent were fired towards US targets in the region.[371]
Iran
[edit]Assassination of Ali Khamenei
[edit]
On 28 February 2026, Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran, was assassinated. Early on 1 March, Iranian state media announced that Khamenei had been killed.[372] The Fars News Agency, which is controlled by the IRGC, announced that Khamenei's daughter, son-in-law, grandchild, and daughter-in-law Zahra Haddad-Adel, wife of Mojtaba Khamenei who was injured, had also been killed in the strikes.[373][374][375] The state declared 40 days of mourning.[376] CIA assessments suggested that a hardliner from the IRGC would replace Khamenei.[377]
Iranian military and officials
[edit]It was reported, citing Israeli military and regional sources, that defense minister Aziz Nasirzadeh and IRGC commander Mohammad Pakpour had likely been killed by Israeli airstrikes.[378] Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi acknowledged but downplayed the losses, deeming them "not such a big problem".[379] Iran International reported that Defence Council secretary Ali Shamkhani had been killed,[380] along with four top Ministry of Intelligence officials.[381] The IDF later stated that it had confirmed the deaths of seven Iranian security leaders, including Shamkhani, Nasirzadeh, and Pakpour.[382]
Additional senior officials confirmed to have been killed are Salah Asadi, head of intelligence for Iran's emergency command, Mohammad Shirazi, head of the military office of Khamenei, head of the Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research (SPND) Hossein Jabal Amelian and former SPND head Reza Mozaffari Nia.[163] On 1 March, chief of staff Abdolrahim Mousavi and former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad were confirmed by Iranian state media to have also been killed by strikes.[383][384] However, later reports stated that Ahmadinejad is alive, or at least that reports of his death cannot be confirmed.[385]
CBS News reported that "an intelligence source and a military source told CBS News Saturday evening [28th February 2026]" that 40 Iranian officials had been killed in the strikes but that they were not "clear whether these officials were in one location or multiple locations".[386][387] Iran's Foreign Ministry stated the military has lost control over several units, that are operating according to old general instructions.[388] On 10 March, Hengaw estimated that 4,000+ members of Iranian military forces had been killed in the attacks, up from 1,300+ on 2 March and 2,100+ on 4 March.[389]
Iranian civilians
[edit]On 28 February a girls' elementary school was hit in American attacks on Minab, according to Iran.[390] The school was located close to[o] the Sayyid al-Shuhada military complex,[394] of which it once had been a part.[393][395] While there is no independent confirmation of the number killed,[396][397] Iranian state media reported that 180 people, mostly school children, had been killed and 95 wounded in the strike.[291][398] According to Iranian state-owned media, thousands of people attended the burial of the victims.[255] A spokesperson for the Iranian foreign ministry called the strike a "war crime" by Israel, though Israel denied the attack. CENTCOM confirmed it was investigating internally.[399] Evidence assembled by US investigators[400][401] and The New York Times suggested that the attack was carried out by the US.[402] A video showed a US Tomahawk missile hitting a building adjacent to the school, adding to evidence indicating the US was responsible for the strike.[403] UN human rights experts subsequently characterized the strike as a potential war crime under the Rome Statute.[404]
A further 20 civilians were killed in Tehran's Niloofar Square on 2 March, according to Iranian-state owned media.[405] On 3 March, the Red Crescent said that over 600 civilians had been killed,[406] while the Human Rights Activists in Iran estimated that 742 civilians had been killed in the attacks.[33]
On 7 March, the Iranian Red Crescent Society reported that over 6,668 civilian units were targeted by US-Israeli strikes, including:[407]
- 5,535 residential units
- 1,041 commercial units
- 14 medical centres
- 65 schools
- 13 centres affiliated with the Iranian Red Crescent Society
The US reportedly used double tap airstrikes to maximize casualties.[408][409]
Iranian institutions
[edit]The opening attack on 28 February targeted the compound of Leadership House. On 2 March 2026, video footage released by Iran International showed the IRGC Malek-Ashtar building in Tehran completely destroyed following a joint US Israel missile strike on the capital.[410] In the early hours of 3 March 2026, the complex of the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB), the state broadcaster's headquarters in Tehran, was hit in a separate Israeli air operation.[411][412]
Iranian authorities reported that parts of the broadcaster's facilities were struck but no casualties were reported.[413][unreliable source][414][unreliable source] Iranian state-linked media indicated that Iran's parliament building was also targeted by airstrikes.[415] Trump told reporters that "Just about everything's been knocked out" and that Iran had no navy, air force, air detection, or radar after the attacks.[416]
Israel bombed Iran's Assembly of Experts as they were in a meeting to elect the next supreme leader.[417] By 5 March, the World Health Organization had identified 13 Iranian health infrastructure sites that were hit during the war, as well as one health facility in Lebanon.[418]
United States
[edit]On 2 March, the US announced that US fatalities had risen to six, with four others seriously injured.[419] Four of the victims have been identified, who are, according to CENTCOM, all members of the 103rd Sustainment Command (Expeditionary), headquartered in Des Moines, Iowa.[420] All six confirmed US fatalities were killed in a single Iranian airstrike on a base in Kuwait.[421] On 8 March, CENTCOM announced that a soldier wounded during an attack in Saudi Arabia on 1 March succumbed to their injuries.[422] The same day CENTCOM reported a National Guard soldier died from a "health-related incident in Kuwait on March 6 during a medical emergency."[422] The guardsman was a former New York City Police Department officer, and state and city officials made statements paying tribute.[423]
Israel
[edit]
The first connected Iranian airstrike targeted a building in Israel, leaving one Israeli civilian injured.[424] Magen David Adom reported that Iran's initial attacks had left 89 injured, with three directly wounded and the rest indirectly, most of them civilians.[425] On 28 February, a direct hit in Tel Aviv killed a civilian woman and injured 22 others, one seriously.[426] On 1 March, an Iranian strike hit a synagogue and residential buildings in Beit Shemesh, killing nine people and injuring 49 others.[427] On 9 March, two workers were killed in Yehud, outside of Tel Aviv, after being struck by submunitions from an Iranian missile equipped with a cluster bomb warhead while working outdoors at a construction site.[428][429]
Israeli broadcaster Kan 11 reported that 90, 65, 25, and then 20 missiles were launched at Israel from Iran on each of the first four days of the war.[430] Although the number of missiles in each volley has decreased, the missiles themselves have increased in size and impact.[431] On 9 March, Israel said that Lebanon has made more attacks against them than Iran has over the past week.[432]
Lebanon
[edit]On 2 March, Hezbollah began firing rockets and missiles on Israel, in what they said was retaliation for the killing of Khamenei[433][434]—an action condemned by the Lebanese government that later took legal actions against Hezbollah.[435][436][437][438] Hezbollah later claimed that the attack was a "defensive act" after over a year of Israeli attacks despite a truce.[71] It added that it restarted fighting to force Israel to stop its aggression and evacuate from seized Lebanese territories, emphasising that the move was unrelated to the war.[72] In response Israel launched air strikes on southern Lebanon and south Beirut.[439] They were later followed by a ground incursion in southern Lebanon with forces from the 91st Division with the goal to stablish a "security layer" for the Israeli residents of northern settlements against Hezbollah, expecting to destroy their infrastructure in the Israel-Lebanon border. The Lebanese government reported that such Israeli preventive attacks reached Kfarkela and Qouzah, provoking the Lebanese army to do a redeployment from newly established border posts amid escalating Israeli activity in violation of the 2024 Israel–Lebanon ceasefire agreement.[440]
At least 31 people were killed,[441] 149 were wounded by Israeli strikes in Lebanon,[13] including three additional paramedics according to Al Jazeera,[250] and Lebanon states at least 517,000 Lebanese nationals were displaced.[292][442] Youssef Ragi, the Lebanese foreign minister, announced Lebanon's Council of Ministers decided to ban the military and security of Hezbollah, and called for them to hand over their weapons.[443] Israel called for Lebanon to take action beyond mere statements.[444] An NBC News analysis described Hezbollah as "significantly weakened".[443] Sami Nader, the director of the Institute of Political Science at Saint Joseph University of Beirut, described the situation as a "tipping point".[445]
Other countries and regions
[edit]In addition to its strikes against Israel, Iran launched strikes against Bahrain,[446][447] Kuwait,[448] Oman,[449] Saudi Arabia,[450][451] Qatar, the United Arab Emirates,[452][453] Azerbaijan,[296][297] the Kurdistan Region of Iraq,[454] and the Akrotiri and Dhekelia British Overseas Territory on Cyprus.[455] Among the casualties are three Indian nationals killed in the strait of Hormuz,[456] a Chinese national killed in Iran,[35] a Filipino national killed in Israel,[457] a Nepali and a Pakistani national killed in the UAE,[458] a Bangladeshi national killed in the UAE, another in Bahrain,[459] and two more from a Saudi Arabian attack,[460] and two Japanese journalists alive and detained in Iran.[461] One Pakistani national in Iran was killed by debris from an Israeli projectile.[462]
In Iraq, two members of the Popular Mobilization Forces were killed and three injured in a US-Israeli attack on 28 February.[463] A later report from The New York Times claimed three dead.[464] On 1 and 2 March, the United States and Israel conducted several attacks on Iranian-backed Iraqi militias to degrade their military capabilities to conduct retaliatory attacks.[465][466] On 2 March, a Kuwaiti F/A-18 shot down three American F-15Es in a friendly fire incident. The six crew members survived. The United States embassy in Kuwait was also hit by an Iranian missile strike, prompting Rubio to close the embassy until further notice.[222][221]
Casualties by country
[edit]| Country | Killed | Injured | Missing | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1,919–4,799+ | 16,228+ | 11 | |
| Iran | 1,255–4,145[q] | 12,000+ | Unknown | [33][469][467][34][470][471] |
| Lebanon | 570 | 1,444 | 0 | [472][473] |
| Iraq | 31[r] | Dozens[s] | 0 | [475][476][31][477] |
| Israel | 18 | 2,339 | 11 | [478][479][480] |
| United Arab Emirates | 12 | 122 | 0 | [470][481][482] |
| United States | 9 | 150 | 0 | [19][20][483] |
| Kuwait | 8 | 99 | 0 | [41][484][485][486][487] |
| Bahrain | 3 | 38[t] | 0 | [47][488][480] |
| Saudi Arabia | 2 | 12 | 0 | [342] |
| Oman | 1 | 5 | 0 | [51][470] |
| Qatar | 0 | 16 | 0 | [52] |
| Jordan | 0 | 5 | 0 | [470] |
| Azerbaijan | 0 | 4 | 0 | [489] |
Attacks by ballistic missiles and drones/UAVs
[edit]| Country | Ballistic missiles | Drones/UAVs | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Arab Emirates | 262 | 1475 | [490][491] |
| Saudi Arabia | 3+ | 83 | [490][492][493][better source needed] |
| Qatar | 101 | 63 | [490][492] |
| Bahrain | 102 | 171 | [490][494] |
| Oman | 262 | 35 | [490][495] |
| Kuwait | 178 | 154 | [490][496] |
| Jordan | 60 | 59 | [490][497] |
| Iraq | 20 | 40 | [497] |
| Azerbaijan | 0 | 3 | [497] |
| Turkey | 1 | 0 | [497] |
| Cyprus | 0 | 1 | [497] |
Impact
[edit]In Iran
[edit]Leadership
[edit]The death of Ali Khamenei triggered an election for a new supreme leader. Under the terms of Iran's constitution, an Interim Leadership Council was established on 1 March to exercise the functions of Iran's head of state until a new supreme leader is elected.[192]
Mojtaba Khamenei was elected on 8 March 2026 to replace his father as supreme leader,[498] and the IRGC, as well as Iran's top leaders (including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Ali Larijani, and Masoud Pezeshkian[499]) pledged their allegiance to him.[500] According to an analyst, Ali Khamenei had no role in choosing this successor.[499] Trump called the new supreme leader "lightweight",[480] and threatened that he would not last long without his approval.[501] Israel echoed this sentiment.[488]

Civilian life
[edit]Amid the renewed "near total" internet blackout in Iran, NetBlocks reported that internet connectivity in Iran dropped to 4% of ordinary levels.[397][502][503] As news of Khamenei's death broke, security forces were deployed to prevent an uprising, with footage showing them opening fire on celebrants in the streets.[504][505][506] Footage also showed security forces shooting at people chanting behind the windows of their homes.[507] After Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson held a televised press conference from a classroom in Tehran, concerns grew over Iran's use of civilian sites.[508] Footage also showed Iranian security forces stationed in schools and hospitals across the country.[508][509] Reports also indicated an underground tunnel complex underneath medical centers, schools, and residential neighborhoods.[510]
As the US and Israel executed joint strikes targeting Iranian military and institutional targets, many cities reportedly became ghost towns, as civilians feared going outside or to their daily jobs.[511] Reports have emerged that prisoners in Evin Prison have been receiving limited bread and water since the onset of the war.[512]
Kurdish-Iranian crisis
[edit]According to The Wall Street Journal, Trump was open to supporting armed militias, particularly Kurds in Iran that have been in armed conflict with Tehran for decades,[256] and have historically been a regional ally of the United States.[513] However, Trump later said he ruled out sending the Kurds to Iran.[514]
Cultural heritage sites
[edit]Several historic and cultural sites, including UNESCO World Heritage Sites, were damaged during the war. On 2 March 2026, a strike on Arg Square damaged nearby Golestan Palace, prompting UNESCO to issue a statement of concern.[515][516] An 8 March 2026 strike on Falak-ol-Aflak, which was marked with a blue shield emblem, damaged several sections of the site.[517] Strikes on Isfahan on 9 March 2026 damaged Naqsh-e Jahan Square, Chehel Sotoun, Ali Qapu, Shah Mosque, and Teymouri Hall.[518][517]
In Israel
[edit]Israel declared a nationwide state of emergency, saying that the strikes on Iran were the largest that it had ever launched.[172][519] Israeli schools and workspaces were closed and public gatherings were canceled.[63] Der Spiegel described a joint war with the United States to attack Iran as "a dream for Benjamin Netanyahu that became true", but warned that it may have disastrous consequences for Israel.[which?][520]
In Gaza Strip
[edit]The Israeli Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories closed multiple aid crossings in the Gaza Strip (specifically interrupting free circulation on the Egypt–Gaza border).[521] Israeli forces suspended United Nations humanitarian movements and postponed planned rotations of international humanitarian staff (including medical evacuations and the return of people into Gaza), which the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs condemned.[522]
In Gulf states
[edit]The Arab states of the Persian Gulf started a campaign of prosecution against civilians and foreign citizens that shared or reposted rumours from unverified sources about the Iranian attacks, with the stated main goal to curb misinformation that could harm public order.[523] Bahrain's Cyber Crime Directorate also started a campaign of arresting civilians in the country, which has a large Shiite minority, who allegedly expressed "their support for the Iranian shelling targeting the Kingdom of Bahrain", describing such activities as treason and as promotion of hostile acts against the state.[524]
Global
[edit]
The war has global economic consequences: The conflict led to immediate surges in oil and gas prices, widespread disruptions in aviation and tourism, and heightened volatility in financial markets.[525][526]
Disruption of international trade
[edit]Analysts projected potential global inflation increases and risks of recession if disruptions persisted, particularly through closures of key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz and strikes on gas and oil facilities[525][526]
Oil prices rose following a reduction in traffic through the strait, and strikes on oil facilities in countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE.[527] Oil prices went over $100 per barrel[480] to $114 per barrel,[480] giving it the highest prices since the COVID-19 pandemic. An expert warned that if this continues, this could lead into a worldwide economic recession.[528] Gas prices also rose,[217] and analysts said raising the world's prices was a part of the Iranian government's plan to apply pressure on the world to stop the war.[529]

On 6 March, Qatar's energy minister Saad al-Kaabi warned that if the war continues other Gulf energy producers may be forced to halt exports and declare force majeure, and that "this will bring down economies of the world".[530] Stock markets experienced declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling over 400 points on 2 March.[531] Broader economic forecasts warned of inflationary pressures and slowed global growth if the conflict prolonged.[532]
Airspace closures
[edit]Iran's airspace was largely empty of civilian aircraft following the strikes as regional states closed airspace.[533][534] Bahrain, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Qatar, Syria and the UAE closed their respective airspace following the attacks, with multiple airliners being redirected to other destinations.[535][536][537] Some regional-based and International airlines like suspended services to the Middle East in view of the war.[538] According to a Wirtschaftswoche analysis, prolonging the conflict would mean a "catastrophe" for Gulf states such as Qatar and the UAE.[539]
Strait of Hormuz
[edit]
The current soft closure in Hormuz, alongside the fears of a declared blockade, has caused an increase in financial risk due to the impact in the prices for energy, shipping, insurance, aviation, etc. The war in the Persian Gulf theater has provoked speculation in the world economy, caused by the possibility of prolonged supply disruption, which will have broader consequences for inflation, currencies, and emerging markets. One-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption and more than one-quarter of global seaborne oil trade is done by the extraction of oil in the Persian Gulf Basin and its commerce through crossing the Strait of Hormuz.[540]
Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb
[edit]Houthi-controlled Yemen restarted its threats in the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea, which had been suspended since 10 October 2025 after the Gaza peace plan proposal.[541] Some security sources claim that Houthis are planning to do incursions in the Arabian Sea and also use bases from the African side of the Red Sea, helped by their presence and some cells established in East Africa.[542]
Hans Grundberg, the United Nations Special Envoy for Yemen, stressed the importance of protecting Yemen from being dragged into a new cycle of regional confrontations and urged the Houthis to refrain from escalatory actions, saying that "No party has the right to drag the country into a broader conflict that would bring more suffering to the Yemeni people."[543]
As of 4 March, hostilities have not resumed as there was reportedly internal debate inside the group over its response.[544] On 5 March, Houthi leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi said in a recorded address that his group stands with Iran in the ongoing war and is prepared to take action if developments require it, stating: "Our hands are on the trigger whenever developments require it," warning that the group remains ready to intervene if the situation escalates further.[545][546]
By 7 March, the Houthis have released only 3 declarations with a tone characterized as more disciplined and subdued this time, unlike its usual bellicose approach on other conflicts of the Middle Eastern crisis (2023–present), seeming more as political and emotional statements in favour of Iran rather than practical and military solidarity. Such pragmatist attitude has been influenced by the 2025 United States–Houthi ceasefire, not wanting to open multiple fronts in the current Yemeni civil war and to focus on ending the conflict with Saudi Arabia.[547][548]
Internet infrastructure
[edit]Three Amazon Web Services data centers in the United Arab Emirates were struck and damaged as a result of drone strikes, leading to outages of web infrastructure within the Middle East,[549] causing "sparks and fire" as well as "major structural damage" for 2 of the data centers, with internal water levels reaching up to 4 cm, alongside the mechanical failure of cooling and air systems.[550] As the targeted data centers within the United Arab Emirates were in different availability zones, and Amazon infrastructure was only designed to withstand redundancy of a single zone,[551] fundamental web infrastructure including S3 storage, EC2 compute and DynamoDB databases suffered complete outages within the Middle Eastern region.[550]
In US military
[edit]For the United States, the first 100 hours of the conflict is estimated to have cost US$3.7 billion, according to the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.[86] The Center for American Progress estimated the cost to the US at $5 billion four days into the war on 2 March.[87] Analysts for CNN said that the cost is at least US$890 million per day.[88]
Reactions
[edit]Iran
[edit]Government
[edit]Iran's foreign ministry vowed a response as Iranian forces struck US bases across the Persian Gulf.[179][552] The Supreme National Security Council said Iran was targeted by a "brutal air operation" carried out by the US and Israel, saying: "This occurred once again during negotiations, and the enemy imagines that the resilient Iranian nation will surrender to their petty demands through these cowardly actions."[475] Abbas Araghchi called the attacks "wholly unprovoked, illegal, and illegitimate".[553] An IRGC general announced that Iran is capable of fighting for a long time.[554] Iranian officials have rejected Trump's attempt to insert himself into the government's succession plans.[555] Pezeshkian said that US should take their unconditional surrender demand "to their grave".[556] Pezeshkian apologised for the attacks on neighbouring nations, stating that Tehran would suspend them until an attack originated from there and attributed the strikes to "miscommunication in the ranks".[556][331] The statement highlighted internal divisions, as Pezeshkian, representing tripartite leadership council, urged diplomacy while the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard continued independent operations.[331][557]
Civilians
[edit]
A holistic picture of civilian reactions in Iran is difficult to obtain due to the government's control over the circulation of information, the renewed internet blackout, and the ongoing heated nature of the war.[558] The Daily Telegraph and Iran International posted videos of people inside Iran celebrating the attacks, hopeful that they will bring forth an end to the ruling government,[559][560] leading to some celebrants being attacked and shot by security forces.[505] In contrast, AFP, Al Jazeera, and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty published photos of Iranians during pro-government rallies waving the Islamic Republic flag holding portraits of Khamenei while demonstrating against the US and Israeli attack.[561][562][563] Civilians also expressed fear, grief and anger at the US-Israeli strikes, and at civilian casualties caused by them.[564][565]
Diaspora and opposition
[edit]Following the US–Israeli airstrikes on Iran, some Iranians living abroad showed support for regime change in Iran. Celebratory rallies were held worldwide by many members of the Iranian diaspora, where Iranians gathered waving anti-Islamic Republic symbols, including the Lion and Sun flag.[566][567][568] Reza Pahlavi, the most prominent leader of the opposition and son of the former Shah of Iran, supports the strikes on government and military targets, and states he is ready to have his transitional government take over should the Islamic Republic be overthrown.[569][570] Kurdish Iranian dissidents in Iraq denied any attack plans, but said they would support a US invasion of Iran.[571] On 7 March, an Iranian Kurd leader in Iraq said that ground operation into Iran is "highly likely".[572]
United States
[edit]President Trump described the attacks on Iran as "a massive and ongoing operation to prevent this very wicked, radical dictatorship from threatening America".[573] In a video posted to Truth Social, he reaffirmed that "Our objective is to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime, a vicious group of very hard, terrible people", adding: "For 47 years, the Iranian regime has chanted 'Death to America' and waged an unending campaign of bloodshed and mass murder, targeting the United States, our troops and the innocent people in many, many countries."[574] Trump said that talks with Iran will be easier following Khamenei's assassination.[163] On the third day of the war, Trump said that the US military is "knocking the crap out of Iran but the big wave of attacks yet to come" and mentioning the possible use of ground troops.[163] According to experts, the use of ground troops are required for the goals of the Trump administration in the Middle East.[575] On 3 March, Trump said on Truth Social: "Their air defense, Air Force, Navy, and Leadership is gone. They want to talk. I said, 'Too Late!'"[416] Trump claimed victory and said that he had defeated Iran militarily.[13] Trump has also informally stated his idea for a post-war Iran in which a new Iranian regime works together on oil production in the same way that the US and Venezuela do.[74] On 7 March, Trump shifted the war's objectives from urging Iranian civilians to seize control to demanding the "Unconditional surrender" of the regime, while stating that he would play a role in shaping the decisions that follow.[576][577] During the war, top US general Dan Caine said that Iran is fighting US which he respects, but Iranian forces are not more formidable than expected.[578]
Public
[edit]Opinion polling showed that most Americans were opposed to US military action against Iran.[579] According to The Guardian, 27% of Americans were supportive of the US operation while 43% were opposed and 29% were uncertain.[580] An NBC poll found that 52% of registered voters believed the US should not have taken military action, while 41% supported the military action.[581] Most Americans reported they believe that Trump still has not explained the goals behind attacking Iran.[420] Polls showed splits on the issue on political and demographic lines. Most Republicans supported the action, while most Democrats and independents opposed it.[579] Trump reacted to the disapproval by denying that opinion polling showed low approval ratings, also adding, "I don't care about polling."[582][583] The Military Religious Freedom Foundation (MRFF) received more than 200 complaints from US armed forces members who allege commanders invoked "extremist Christian rhetoric" to justify involvement in the Iran war to troops.[584]
Politicians
[edit]Some members of the US congress called for a vote on the War Powers Resolution, also known as the War Powers Act,[585] that some other members asserted could have effectively ended the attack on Iran.[586] Mike Johnson, the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, called the vote "dangerous".[420] The resolution failed,[587] mainly due to Republican opposition.[588] Most House Democrats, and two Republicans, supported the Resolution, arguing that the military actions go beyond the President's authority to make war.[589] Most Republicans, and four Democrats, voted down the Resolution, believing the War Powers Resolution empowers the President to engage in limited armed conflict.[589] Representative Thomas Massie and former Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene argued Trump started the war as a distraction from the Epstein files.[590] A similar resolution was voted down in the Senate, mostly along party lines.[591] During the war, top US general Caine said that Iran is fighting US which he respects, but Iranian forces are not more formidable than expected.[578]
Israel
[edit]Netanyahu said the goal of the strikes was to "remove the existential threat posed by the terrorist regime in Iran", stating that "our joint action will create the conditions for the brave Iranian people to take their destiny into their own hands."[592] Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar said that military action against Iran was urgently needed "despite the significant risks involved", adding that "delay would have allowed the Iranian regime to reach a level of immunity for its nuclear programme, as well as to engage in the mass production of long-range ballistic missiles".[593] Minister of Science and Technology Gila Gamliel said that 2026 Israeli legislative election will likely be brought forward to late June or July to allow Netanyahu bloc to leverage the war.[594] Opposition leaders supported the strikes.[595] On 4 March 2026, Defense Minister Israel Katz disclosed that Israel had initially planned to strike Iran in mid-2026.[596] On 5 March 2026, Katz said that Netanyahu set an aim of assassinating supreme leader Ali Khamenei in November 2025.[597] Israel's army chief Eyal Zamir[442] said that the war will likely continue for a long time.[598]
A March 2026 survey by the Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) found that 82% of the Israeli public supported ongoing military operations, including 93% of Jewish Israelis and 26% of Arab Israelis.[599]
International
[edit]
It was reported that European Union Commission president Ursula von der Leyen supports a regime change in Iran.[600][601] NATO secretary general Mark Rutte said that Europe is "supportive" of the US attacks on Iran, as Iran is a "threat".[602] He also said that he felt that the US "knows what it is doing".[603] The US and Israeli attacks were supported at least in part by Ukraine,[604][605] Albania,[606] Argentina,[607] Australia,[608] Canada,[609] Czechia,[610] Finland,[611] Germany,[612] Kosovo,[613] Latvia,[614] Lithuania,[614] New Zealand,[615] Papua New Guinea,[616] Romania,[614] and Trinidad and Tobago,[617] while being implicitly or explicitly opposed by Afghanistan,[618] Armenia,[619] Brazil,[620] Chile,[621][622] China,[623] Kazakhstan,[624][625] Oman,[626] North Korea,[627] Norway,[605] Malaysia,[628] Pakistan,[629] Russia,[604] and Vietnam.[630]
Iran's retaliations were condemned by Austria,[614] Bahrain,[626] Belgium,[614] Bulgaria,[614] incoming president of Chile José Antonio Kast,[631] Croatia,[614] Cyprus,[614] Djibouti,[632] Egypt,[633] India,[634][635] Kazakhstan,[624] Kuwait,[605] Malta,[614] Morocco,[636] Netherlands,[614] the Palestinian Authority,[637] Portugal,[638] Qatar,[605] Saudi Arabia,[184] Sweden,[614] Syria,[639] Somalia,[640] Turkey,[250] Somaliland,[641] Taiwan,[642] and the UAE,[605] as well as by France, Germany, and the United Kingdom, who issued a joint declaration.[643] Additionally, the United Kingdom permitted the US to use British military bases for defensive purposes,[644] Portugal permitted the US to use Lajes Field for defensive purposes,[645] and France sent its aircraft carrier towards the Mediterranean.[250] When asked whether it would join the war, Canada said that it "can't rule out participation".[646] On 5 March 2026, French broadcaster BFMTV reported that France authorized American armed forces to use French bases amid the war.[647] France also called for Iran to "immediately cease strikes".[292] There have been movements between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan due to the Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement between both countries, as it "states that any aggression against either country shall be considered an aggression against both".[648][649]
Mixed reactions or calls for peace were made by South Africa,[650] Azerbaijan,[651] Indonesia,[652] Lebanon,[653][654][605] Ireland,[655] Slovenia,[614] Vatican City,[656] Uruguay,[657] Uzbekistan,[658] and Venezuela.[659] In addition to condemning both the US and Israeli attacks and Iran's counterattacks,[614] Spain denied the use of its military bases for US flights connected to a military offensive against Iran, leading President Trump to threaten economic retaliation.[660] In Pakistan, the army was deployed to suppress the escalation of violence during pro-Iranian protests in the northern cities of Gilgit and Skardu, especially after Shiite demonstrators attacked on 1 March the offices of the UN Military Observer Group at Azad Kashmir. Similar action was done in Sindh during the attack on the US consulate in Karachi.[661]
Analysis
[edit]
Legality under international law
[edit]The 2026 US-Israel attacks on Iran are widely considered illegal under international law, as they violate the UN Charter's prohibition on the use of force, do not meet the criteria for self-defence, and lack authorization from the United Nations Security Council under Chapter VII.[662][84] There is no recognized legal basis for preventive war or forcible regime change.[663]
Ben Saul, United Nations Special Rapporteur on Human Rights and Counter-terrorism, stated that Iran had not enriched uranium to the point of building a nuclear device, that experts agreed Iran did not possess a nuclear weapon, and that the case was nowhere close to being self-defence against an imminent attack.[662] Don Rothwell, a professor of international law at the Australian National University, stated that the UN Security council did not pass a resolution to attack Iran and no legal basis for justifying use of force.[662] The Law Society Journal noted that striking Iran during active negotiations was against the principles of good faith outlined in Article 2(2) of the UN Charter.[664] A debate whether Trump's war was legally justified has started within the federal government.[665]
Military
[edit]Although the US officials mentioned destroying Iranian missile program as an objective, they did not mention the low-cost drones (e.g. the Shahed drones), which had been the cause of some of the deadliest strikes in the war, including the attack that killed six US service members.[666]
Betting
[edit]The USA Administration and other nations have noted that there has been betting on events and the outcome of the war, prompting US politicians to call for a ban on such speculation, raising questions about whether the bets were based on insider information and what betting markets should be allowed. Notably, Polymarket has been used extensively, with betters making large winnings on various activities during the early days of the war. [667]
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ For further information, see 2026 Hezbollah–Israel war.
- ^ Primarily the Persian Gulf and the Levant, as well as Cyprus (Akrotiri and Dhekelia) and the South Caucasus.
- ^ The identities of nine are reported by ABC News, CBS and Reuters: "Capt. Cody A. Khork, 35, of Winter Haven, Florida; Sgt. 1st Class Noah L. Tietjens, 42, of Bellevue, Nebraska; Sgt. 1st Class Nicole M. Amor, 39, of White Bear Lake, Minnesota; and Spc. Declan J. Coady, 20, of West Des Moines, Iowa, died [28 February] in Kuwait from an Iranian drone attack." "Maj. Jeffrey R. O'Brien, 45, of Indianola, Iowa, and Chief Warrant Officer 3 Robert Marzan, 54, of Sacramento, California."..." USMC Lance Corporal Kevin Melendez died 4 March 2026 in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia"..."US National Guard Major Sorffly Davius, died in Kuwait" ..." "Benjamin N. Pennington, 26, of Kentucky died by wounds suffered on 1 March 2026."[13][failed verification]
- ^ Including 2 DoD personnel.[17][18][19][20]
- ^ Including 48 leaders.[25][26]
- ^ 104 sailors killed, 32 injured off the coast of Sri Lanka.[29]
- ^ These figures includes 180 civilians killed in the Minab school airstrike,[34] and 1 Chinese national.[35]
- ^ Sometimes included in the "Axis of Resistance".[96][97]
- ^ The problems indicated by the UNSC during 2006 in their first resolution were specifically "uranium enrichment[100] and reprocessing"[101] in the second resolution of that year; additionally use or attempted use of "heavy water"[102]
- ^ From left to right: Trump; Secretary of State, Marco Rubio; and Chief of Staff, Susie Wiles
- ^ Hebrew: מִבְצַע שְׁאָגַת הָאֲרִי, romanized: Mivtsá She'agát Ha'arí, pronounced [mivˈt͡sä ʃe̞.äˈɡätʰ hä.ʔäˈʁi]
- ^ Previously, Iran had launched I, II, and III on a more limited scale.
- ^ Persian: عملیات وعده صادق ۴, romanized: Amaliyat-e Va'deh-ye Sadegh 4
- ^ In 2010, South Korean corvette ROKS Cheonan was sunk near the border with North Korea. An investigation into the incident by a group of countries concluded that it was sunk by a torpedo launched by a North Korean Yeono-class midget submarine, though North Korea denied any responsibility.[287][288]
- ^ Variously described as "about 600m [660 yd] from the base",[391] "within less than 100 yards [91 m] of the perimeter of [the base]",[392] "adjacent to [the base]"[393]
- ^ Including at least 1,205 civilians.[33] 180 civilians killed in Minab school airstrike,[467][398][468][34]
- ^
- Per Israel and US:
- >3,000 military personnel killed[25]
- 48 leaders killed[26]
- Per the Human Rights Activists in Iran:
- 1,761 killed[p]
- ^ 26 Popular Mobilization Forces fighters killed,[31] 3 Kurdistan Freedom Party fighters and 2 civilians killed.[474]
- ^ dozens of Popular Mobilization Forces fighters injured,[31] 4 Kurdistan Freedom Party fighters injured.[474]
- ^ Including children.
References
[edit]- ^ Burke, Jason (6 March 2026). "Iran-backed militias intensify attacks against US, Israel and allies". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
A strike on an IRGC base in Ahwaz, an Iranian city close to the border with Iraq, was claimed by an apparently newly formed group calling itself the "Ahwaz Falcons".
- ^ "US embassy in Baghdad attacked as US-Israel war on Iran escalates". Al Jazeera. 7 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ Toomey, Bridget (1 March 2026). "Iraqi Shiite militias join the war between Israel, the US, and Iran with drone attacks". FDD's Long War Journal. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ Seth J. Frantzman (4 March 2026). "Lebanon Islamic Group claims headquarters targeted by IDF strikes". The Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ Ali, Taz; Fulton, Adam (5 March 2026). "Middle East crisis live: Israel launches fresh strikes on Tehran; Iran claims to have targeted Kurdish groups in Iraq". the Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ "Palestinian Islamic Jihad armed wing says Lebanon commander killed in Israeli strikes". L'Orient Today. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ Planas, Roque; Dunbar, Marina; Lowe, Yohannes; Datoo, Siraj; Ellis-Petersen, Hannah (8 March 2026). "Middle East crisis live: Israel warns it will pursue Iran's next supreme leader; black smoke smothers Tehran after missiles strike oil depots". the Guardian. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
- ^ "Israel says 13 killed, nearly 2,000 injured in Iranian attacks". Al Jazeera. 9 March 2026.
- ^ "Motorcyclist critically injured in Kiryat Motzkin crash during alert dies". www.ynetnews.com.
- ^ "Two killed, another seriously wounded by cluster munitions as Iranian attack targets central Israel". www.jpost.com.
- ^ https://www.israelnationalnews.com/flashes/678906
- ^ Holman, Tobias; Bob, Yonah Jeremy (7 March 2026). "Two IDF soldiers wounded by anti-tank missile fire during operations in southern Lebanon". Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 7 March 2026.
The incident is the fourth of its kind in recent days, raising the total of IDF soldiers wounded in southern Lebanon to 14.
- ^ a b c d "Iran live updates: US embassies 'under direct attack,' Rubio says". ABC News.
- ^ Fabian, Emanuel (8 March 2026). "US soldier dies of their wounds, in seventh American casaulty of Iran war". Times of Israel. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ "NYPD officer deployed to Kuwait with National Guard dies after suffering medical episode". CBS News. 9 March 2026.
- ^ "A dignified transfer of the remains of U.S. Marine Corps Lance Corporal Kevin Melendez, in Dover". Reuters Connect. 4 March 2026.
- ^ "Exclusive: As many as 150 US troops wounded so far in Iran war, sources say". Reuters. 10 March 2026.
- ^ Watson, Eleanor (2 March 2026). "2 U.S. personnel injured in weekend attack on Bahrain hotel". CBS News. Retrieved 3 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Fourth US service members dies following Iran strikes". News Nation. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ a b c d "Live updates: Trump warns Iran about larger strikes as war spirals in Middle East". CNN. 2 March 2026.
- ^ "Iranian General: 650 American soldiers have been killed so far". WANA. 3 March 2026. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ Bordeaux, Thomas; Mezzofiore, Gianluca (5 March 2026). "Radar bases housing key US missile interceptor hit in Jordan and UAE, satellite images show". CNN. Retrieved 6 March 2026.
The radar system for an American THAAD missile battery in Jordan was struck and apparently destroyed in the first days of the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, a satellite image taken on Monday shows.
- ^ Amoah, Macdonald; Bazilian, Morgan; Matlsek, Jahara. "The First 36 Hours of War Consumed Over 3,000 U.S.-Israeli Munitions". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 6 March 2026.
The destruction of two advanced U.S. radars, the AN/FPS-132 in Qatar and the AN/TPS-59 in Bahrain, highlights a problem where the total weight of the "mineral bill" is less of a concern than the extreme fragility of the supply chain and the extensive timelines for replacement.
- ^ "Iran says 1,255 people killed in US-Israeli attacks, mostly civilians".
- ^ a b "Over 3,000 Iranian soldiers and operatives killed since start of war, Israeli officials say". Ynet. 5 March 2026. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Trump says 48 leaders killed in strikes on Iran, in Fox News interview". Reuters. 1 March 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "Operation Epic Fury: The first 7 days". CENTCOM. 6 March 2026. Retrieved 6 March 2026.
- ^ "US military says it has sunk over 30 Iranian ships so far". Reuters. 6 March 2026. Retrieved 6 March 2026.
- ^ "Iranian army says at least 104 killed in US attack on Iranian warship last week". Reuters. 8 March 2026.
- ^ "Israel killed 200 Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon, IDF says". The Jerusalem Post. 8 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
- ^ a b c d "Airstrike Targets PMF Base in Diyala, Drone Intercepted Near Baghdad Airport Amid Ongoing Strikes". Kurdistan 24. 4 March 2026. Cite error: The named reference "Kurdistan 24-2026" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "Airstrike hits PMF in Kirkuk, six killed".
- ^ a b c d "Day Eleven of the U.S.-Israeli War on Iran: Tragedy on Resalat Highway". HRANA. 10 March 2026.
- ^ a b c Lizzie Porter [@lcmporter] (2 March 2026). "555 people have been killed in US and Israeli attacks across Iran, the country's Red Crescent Society said" (Tweet). Retrieved 2 March 2026 – via X (formerly Twitter).
- ^ a b "China says one citizen dead in Iran conflict, more than 3,000 evacuated". Reuters. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ "At least 4,300 killed, including 390 civilians, in first ten days of war". Hengaw (hengaw.net). 10 March 2026. Retrieved 11 March 2026.
- ^ "Lebanon says 486 killed since Israeli attacks began". Middle East Eye. 9 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ "Missile Hits UAE Salvage Tug Assisting Damaged Container Ship In Strait of Hormuz, 4 Seafarers Killed". www.marineinsight.com.
- ^ "2 UAE soldiers die in helicopter crash due to 'technical malfunction'". www.timesofisrael.com.
- ^ "6 people killed,122 injured so far in Iranian missile and drone attacks in UAE".
- ^ a b "الصحة: حالة وفاة واحدة و32 إصابة على خلفية التطورات الراهنة في المنطقة" [Health Ministry: One death and 32 injuries reported due to current developments in the region]. Kuwait News. 1 March 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "11-Year-Old Child Dies; Four Family Members Undergoing Medical Evaluation After Shrapnel Incident". Times Kuwait. 4 March 2026. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ "Two Kuwaiti border security personnel killed". Al Jazeera English.
- ^ "Kuwait says two firefighters killed 'while performing duties'". Al Jazeera English.
- ^ "Kuwait says 67 soldiers injured 'amid recent security developments' on Thursday". Amrah Online. 6 March 2026.
- ^ Najm, Renwar (8 March 2026). "Iraqi Kurdistan Region Hit by 196 Drone and Missile Attacks Since War Began, monitor says". the Amargi. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
- ^ a b c d Stepansky, Joseph; Sabah, Zaid (2 March 2026). "US, Israel attack Iran live: Trump vows to avenge 3 American soldiers". Al Jazeera English. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ "At least 32 injured in Bahrain after drone attack - state media". BBC News. 9 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ "One killed, others injured in Iranian attack in Bahrain".
- ^ "Two killed, 12 injured after projectile fell on residential location in Saudi Arabia". Reuters. 8 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
- ^ a b "3 Indians killed in Iranian attacks off Oman; 20 injured across West Asia". Hindustan Times. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 3 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Ministry of Interior announces 8 new injuries resulting from Iranian attack". The Peninsula Newspaper. QNA. 1 March 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "Army says Iran fired 119 missiles, drones in one week directly targeting Jordan". Roya TV. 7 March 2026. Retrieved 8 March 2026.
- ^ "Azerbaijan says Iran fired two drones at its territory, injuring two people". Ynet. 5 March 2026. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Iran's Conflict With Israel and the United States". Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ a b Salem, Mostafa; Karadsheh, Jomana; Dean, Sarah; Davey-Attlee, Florence; Pourahmadi, Adam (23 January 2026). "The night Iran went dark: Witness accounts and video reveal violence inflicted during Iran's internet blackout". CNN. Retrieved 25 January 2026.
- ^ a b "Iranian regime rallies supporters in bid to quell unrest". Le Monde. 13 January 2026. Retrieved 25 January 2026.
- ^ "US-Iran talks end with no deal but potential signs of progress". Reuters. 26 February 2026. Retrieved 26 February 2026.
- ^ a b Seligman, Lara; Gordon, Michael R.; Ward, Alexander; Holliday, Shelby (19 February 2026). "U.S. Gathers the Most Air Power in the Mideast Since the 2003 Iraq Invasion". The Wall Street Journal. Archived from the original on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "How Trump Decided to Go to War". The New York Times. 3 March 2026.
- ^ Fabian, Emanuel (28 February 2026). "Satellite image shows destruction of Khamenei's compound". The Times of Israel. ISSN 0040-7909. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Brown, Paul; Sardarizadeh, Shayan; Murphy, Matt (6 March 2026). "Iranian schools, hospital and landmarks among civilian sites hit during US-Israeli strikes". BBC Verify. Retrieved 6 March 2026.
- ^ a b c Boxerman, Aaron; Pager, Tyler; Fassihi, Farnaz; Bergman, Ronen (28 February 2026). "U.S.-Led Strike on Iran: Live Updates as Trump Calls for Government Overthrow". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on 1 March 2026. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Smoke seen in Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait as Iran retaliates against strikes (News). Associated Press. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Piper, Imogen; Kelly, Meg; Ley, Jarrett; Ducroquet, Simon (28 February 2026). "See where U.S., Israeli strikes have hit Iran and where Iran has retaliated". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "Azerbaijan threatens to respond after Iranian drones hit airport and near school". Times of Israel. 5 March 2026.
- ^ "Dubai airport, iconic Burj Al Arab hotel damaged in Iranian missile strikes". Reuters. 28 February 2026. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ "Two drones intercepted heading for RAF base, Cyprus says". BBC News. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 3 March 2026.
- ^ Elliott, Rebecca F.; Eavis, Peter (28 February 2026). "Oil Shipments in Persian Gulf Already Disrupted by Iran Attack". The New York Times.
- ^ a b "Hezbollah claims responsibility for attack on Israel". Al Jazeera English. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ a b c "Beirut, Lebanon, March 2, 2026 (AFP) – Hezbollah says attack on Israel was 'defensive act'". Namibia Press Agency. Agence France-Presse. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ a b c "Hezbollah leader: Resumed fighting with Israel not linked to war on Iran". United Press International. 5 March 2026.
- ^ "Read Trump's full statement on Iran attacks". PBS News. Associated Press. 28 February 2026.
- ^ a b c "Trump has privately shown serious interest in U.S. ground troops in Iran". NBC News. 7 March 2026. Retrieved 7 March 2026.
- ^ "GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham Brags 'We Are Going to Make a Ton of Money' on Iran War". People. 9 March 2026. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
"Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world's oil reserves. We're going to have a partnership with 31% of the known reserves. This is China's nightmare. This is a good investment," he said.
- ^ Magid, Jacob (28 February 2026). "Trump indicates goal of Iran strikes is to topple regime; tells Iranian people: 'When we're finished, take over your government'". The Times of Israel. ISSN 0040-7909. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Volz, Dustin; Ward, Alexander; Seligman, Lara (2 March 2026). "Trump's Case for War With Iran Faces Growing Scrutiny". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ Glasser, Susan (2 March 2026). "Can Donald Trump Win a War with Iran If He Can't Explain Why He Started It?". The New Yorker. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ Haake, Garrett; Leavitt, Karoline (4 March 2026). White House says Trump's 'feeling based on fact' that Iran posed an imminent threat led to strikes. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said President Donald Trump's decision to launch Operation Epic Fury was based on the 'cumulative effect' of threats and his feeling 'based on fact' that Iran posed an imminent and direct threat. Associated Press (Internet video). Retrieved 4 March 2026.
[Total running time, 1:41 min.]
- ^ a b Scahill, Jeremy (3 March 2026). "Exclusive: Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Rejects Trump's 'Big Lie' About Why He Went to War". Drop Site News. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
'They claim that Iran posed an imminent threat to the United States,' Baghaei added. 'Did we come to the Gulf of Mexico to target Los Angeles and other U.S. cities? Or did they come 6,500 miles away to Iranian shores?'
- ^ "How the world has reacted to US and Israeli strikes on Iran". BBC News. 28 February 2026. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Schneid, Rebecca (28 February 2026). "How the World Is Reacting to the Attack on Iran". Time. Retrieved 1 March 2026.
- ^ Chávez, Steff; Politi, James; Hauslohner, Abigail (1 March 2026). "Donald Trump tries to defy troubled history of US interventions in Middle East". Financial Times. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
But the US president has been increasingly willing to take big gambles in foreign affairs, defying traditional diplomacy and the sovereignty of America's foes.
- ^ a b Siddique, Haroon (2 March 2026). "What is the legality of the US and Israeli attacks on Iran?". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
- ^ "US, Israel defend strikes at UN as Iran alleges 'war crime'". Philstar.com. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
- ^ a b "Iran war live: Israeli-US strikes hit Tehran's residential neighbourhoods". Middle East Eye.
- ^ a b "The Trump Administration's Reckless War in Iran Has Already Cost More Than $5 Billion". Center for American Progress. 3 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ a b Foreman, Tom (7 March 2026). Breaking down the cost of war against Iran. CNN. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ a b c d "From 1953 Coup To 2026 Strikes: The Long Road To US-Iran War". News18. 28 February 2026. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ Reed, John; Krubally-N'Diaye, Cordu (6 March 2026). "Why the US and Iran are enemies". Financial Times. Retrieved 7 March 2026.
- ^ Kabir, Marmar (February 2026). "Iran in the eye of the storm". Le Monde diplomatique. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ a b c Hourcade, Bernard (March 2026). "What prospects for a new Iran?". Le Monde diplomatique. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ Mens, Jay (June 2024). "A War Without a Name: The Iran-Israel Relationship in Historical Perspective" (PDF). Harvard Kennedy School, Belfer Center for International Relations.
Here is an important difference between the Cold War and the cold war in the modern Middle East. Unlike the United States and the Soviet Union, Israel and Iran do not have diplomatic relations and openly contest the other's moral right to exist.
- ^ Asadzade, Peyman (1 October 2019). "Faith or Ideology? Religiosity, Political Islam, and Anti-Americanism in Iran". Journal of Global Security Studies. 4 (4): 545–559. doi:10.1093/jogss/ogy038. ISSN 2057-3170.
- ^ Al-Marashi, Ibrahim (2 March 2026). "Iran and the US have been at war for decades – and there's no end in sight". The Conversation. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ "Flexible Resistance: How Hezbollah and Hamas Are Mending Ties". Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 11 July 2018. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
- ^ "What links Hamas to the 'Axis of Resistance' and Iran as its patron?". The Irish Times. 10 October 2023. Retrieved 8 February 2026.
- ^ Khalaji, Mehdi; Collier, Robert (September 2011). "2. Shiite Jurisprudence, Political Expediency, and Nuclear Weapons" (PDF). Nuclear Fatwa; Religion and Politics in Iran's Proliferation Strategy. Washington Institute for Near East Policy. pp. 13–14, 25. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 June 2019.
Khamenei's Nuclear Fatwa Khamenei's statements on the religious prohibition against the production and use of WMD "in any form" were apparently first recorded in October 2003
- ^ Gritten, David (18 June 2025). "Was Iran months away from producing a nuclear bomb?". BBC News. Retrieved 2 March 2026.
the US intelligence community "continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader [Ayatollah Ali] Khamenei has not authorised the nuclear weapons programme that he suspended in 2003". – What do we know about Iran's nuclear programme? a decade-long investigation by the IAEA found evidence that Iran conducted "a range of activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device" from the late 1980s until 2003
- ^ UN Security Council (31 July 2006). "S/RES/1696 (2006)". United Nations.
Expresses concern at the intentions of Iran's nuclear programme and demands that Iran halt its uranium enrichment programme
- ^ UN Security Council. "Resolution 1696 (2006)". United Nations. p. 2.
2. Demands, in this context, that Iran shall suspend all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, including research and development, to be verified by the IAEA
- ^ UN Security Council. "Resolution 1737 (2006)". United Nations. p. 2.
2. Decides, in this context, that Iran shall without further delay suspend the following proliferation sensitive nuclear activities: (a) all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, including research and development, to be verified by the IAEA; and (b) work on all heavy water-related projects, including the construction of a research reactor moderated by heavy water, also to be verified by the IAEA;
- ^ UN Security Council. "Resolution 2231 (2015) on Iran Nuclear Issue". United Nations.
resolutions 1696 (2006), 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008), 1835 (2008) and 1929 (2010) - Background Diplomatic efforts to reach a comprehensive, long-term and proper solution to the Iranian nuclear issue culminated in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) concluded on 14 July 2015
- ^ "Iran reaffirms right to enrich uranium ahead of key talks in Turkiye". Al Jazeera English. 24 July 2025. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
Western powers, led by the US and backed by Israel, have long accused Tehran of secretly seeking nuclear weapons. Iran has repeatedly denied this, insisting its nuclear programme is solely for civilian purposes such as energy production.
- ^ "No Evidence Iran Is Building a Nuclear Bomb: IAEA". All India Radio. 4 February 2026. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
Rafael Mariano Grossi, has said that there has been no evidence of Iran building a nuclear bomb. In a social media post, Mr Grossi said that Iran's large stockpile of near-weapons-grade enriched uranium and refusal to grant inspectors full access are cause for serious concern.
- ^ "Give negotiations a chance: How to turn Iran's claimed right to enrich uranium into a new deal—and avoid a war". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. February 2026. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
Iran has used its enrichment program for leverage in international negotiations.
- ^ "Iran rejects inspections of bombed nuclear sites without IAEA framework". Al Jazeera English. 24 December 2025. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^ Wintour, Patrick (30 January 2026). "'Deeply ideological': the rationale behind Iran's insistence on uranium enrichment". The Guardian. Retrieved 5 March 2026.
- ^
- Bowen, Wyn; Moran, Matthew (7 March 2014). "Iran's Nuclear Programme: A Case Study in Hedging?". Contemporary Security Policy. 35 (1). King's College London: Taylor & Francis: 26–52. doi:10.1080/13523260.2014.884338. ISSN 1743-8764.
this assessment is further complicated by Iran's domestic political context, which has engendered an approach that is as much 'hedging by default' as it is 'hedging by design'. This approach allows Tehran to reconcile restraint with domestic consensus on nuclear advancement.
- Bowen, Wyn; Moran, Matthew (2015). "Living with nuclear hedging: the implications of Iran's nuclear strategy" (PDF). International Affairs. 91 (4). The Royal Institute of International Affairs: John Wiley & Sons: 688-paragraph 2. doi:10.1111/1468-2346.12337.
There is much evidence to suggest Iran is engaged in a more nuanced strategy based on nuclear hedging, rather than outright pursuit of the bomb.
- Eisenstadt, Michael (29 November 2022). "Iran's Nuclear Hedging Strategy: Shaping the Islamic Republic's Proliferation Calculus". The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
- Gettel, Christopher (December 2024). "Why Iran is Choosing Nuclear Hedging". Panoply Journal. 5. George Mason University: Center for International Relations and International Security Inc. doi:10.71166/2x5v5824. ISSN 2766-2594.
- Volpe, Tristan (23 February 2023). "Chapter 6: Iran: Abstract". Leveraging Latency: How the Weak Compel the Strong with Nuclear Technology. Naval Postgraduate School: Oxford University Press. doi:10.1093/oso/9780197669532.003.0006.
Iran developed its nuclear program from 1953 to 2002 and then botched a deception campaign before reconfiguring around a safer hedge posture.
- Bowen, Wyn; Moran, Matthew (7 March 2014). "Iran's Nuclear Programme: A Case Study in Hedging?". Contemporary Security Policy. 35 (1). King's College London: Taylor & Francis: 26–52. doi:10.1080/13523260.2014.884338. ISSN 1743-8764.
- ^ "Iran nuclear deal: Trump pulls US out in break with Europe allies". BBC News. 9 May 2018. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ "Trump tightens the screws on Iran's oil". Brookings Institute. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- ^ Shamim, Sarah. "How US sanctions crippled lives of Iranians Trump says he wants to 'help'". Al Jazeera English. Retrieved 4 March 2026.
- ^ "Trump reimposes 'maximum pressure' on Iran, aims to drive oil exports to zero". Reuters. 4 February 2025. Retrieved 3 March 2026.
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While Mr. Trump claimed Tehran was ultimately aiming to reach to the United States with its array of missiles, even his own Defense Intelligence Agency concluded last year that it would be a decade before Iran could get past the technological and production hurdles to produce a significant arsenal.
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'The worst thing that can happen in your life is this. You're sitting here in peace, relaxing for an hour, and something like this destroys your whole life,' said Shahin, who survived the attack on Cafe Ahla. 'You tried to hit the police and you killed average people. If this is how you want to kill, then kill us all. Every night we are seeing killings. We can't sleep at night because we're worried something will happen to our kids.'
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'When I got close to the place where they were bringing out the victims, I felt a heaviness in my chest. Every body that was lifted carried the mark of pain, and the rescue effort was trying to distinguish between those who could still be saved and those whose lives had ended,' he said. 'There were voices from every direction, everyone was trying to understand what had happened. In that moment, everything inside me was silent, and I was waiting for them to tell me about my daughter Elahe.' Elahe's body was eventually brought out. 'My daughter's body was completely destroyed. It appears she was directly hit by the strike. The lower part of her body was completely destroyed,' Za'eri said. 'How can a father describe what he feels when he sees his child like this? All my memories of her, her laugh, her training, her dreams, collapsed before my eyes in a single moment.'
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- ^ Cáceres, Juan Zahir Naranjo; Brincat, Shannon (1 March 2026). "Neither preemptive nor legal, US-Israeli strikes on Iran have blown up international law". The Conversation. Retrieved 10 March 2026.
- ^ "Neither preemptive nor legal, US‑Israeli strikes on Iran have blown up international law". Law Society Journal. 2 March 2026. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ Hilu, Charles (6 March 2026). "Lawmakers' War Experiences Color Views of Iran Action". The Dispatch. Retrieved 9 March 2026.
- ^ Debusmann Jr, Bernd; BBC Visual Journalism team (6 March 2026). "How Iran is using cheap drones to cause chaos across the Middle East". BBC News.
- ^ Wells, Jasper (11 March 2026). "Anonymous gamblers betting on Iran strikes make millions on Polymarket". ABC News.
External links
[edit]- "What we know about the US-Israeli attack on Iran and Tehran's retaliation". CNN. 28 February 2026. Retrieved 28 February 2026.
- U.S. and Israeli Strikes on Iran, C-SPAN
- Iran War Cost Tracker — Live Estimate of U.S. Taxpayer Spending
